If a federal election was held today, Prime Minister John Howard would lose his own seat. So says a Roy Morgan Research and Crikey.com.au telephone poll of almost 400 Bennelong voters. The poll found 55 per cent supported Labor on a two-party preferred basis.
In recent years, Miss Eagle lived in the electorate of Bennelong and was the recipient of regular newsletters from the incumbent, John Howard. And yes, people are moving into the electorate in droves and a lot of them are Asians - probably with long memories about John Howard's comments on Asian immigration.
While Bennelong takes in the leafy areas of Gladesville, it also takes in the unitsville areas of North Ryde, and Top Ryde, and Miss E's former address in Fontenoy Road, Macquarie Park. The Federal Electorate also takes in the electorate of John Watkins, NSW's Deputy Premier and Member for Ryde, and Minister for Transport and Minister for Police.
So things could well be on turn....
but Miss E would not hang by her neck waiting for it. For instance, Miss Eagle has not had a great deal of confidence in the predictions of Roy Morgan Research. In the field of psephology, she trusts only Anthony Green, thank you very much.