- The Asian Tsunami
- Terrorist Bombings and associated evil
- Hurricane Katrina and other whirlwinds
- Earthquakes in divers places
- Global warming and associated questions
- Avian flu - and associated panics as in Melbourne this week
- Wars and rumours of wars
This does not include our personal and familial woes or the big picture debates on modernity and globalization.
Posner looks at the competency that can be expected of government in dealing with major catastrophes even including risk from asteroid collision! His analysis is lucid and helpful. He points out that effective defence against attacks, including "attacks" by nature, has four dimensions.
- threat assessment, or identifying vulnerable high-value targets;
- intelligence designed to identify impending attacks on those targets in time to prevent them (the Weather Bureau is to hurricanes what the intelligence services are to terrorist attacks);
- measures to harden potential targets against attack; and - all else failing -
- emergency response measures designed to minimize the losses from a successful attack or a natural catastrophe.
Richard Posner then takes the circumstance of Hurricane Katrina not only to comment on the US response to this domestic catastrophe but also to use it as a criterion for how an attack by humans or by nature on a large city might be met.
As the Australian focus on terrorism increases, we are entering the season of flood, fire and cyclone: the season when Australian communities can be under threat from nature, not just the threat, as our governments would remind us, of human terror. How competent are our governments to respond to natural and terrorist attacks on major Australian cities and on communities across the nation?
One thing Posner mentions is that the US Government is taking on too much. Too many things which should be delegated to other levels of government. Getting embroiled in many of these issues could remove the focus from things that only a national focus can implement effectively.
Take a look at the Howard Government: it wants to take over TAFEs; dictate the values of schools; take over hospitals and health; and is legislating to take over industrial relations. All state responsibilities. I know there is a case for over-government in this nation of 20 million souls and I know that the states continue to act as the colonies they were founded to be. But do we really need a Federal Government which centralizes some of the most important and controversial areas of government in its own hands? Can a Federal Government that embroils itself in every controversy that comes along - whether it is moral or fiscal - focus on the things that only a Federal Government can do well? Or will it be distracted to the point of incompetency?
State governments have their competence questioned in many areas: Queensland with health and NSW with transport spring to mind. But they can be competent. Present failure does not have to lead to eternal centralization. Remember the old adage about a shoemaker sticking to his last. Let's tell our governments to stick to what they can do best - that way we can rely on them to be competent in carrying out their first duty to us - protecting us.